CoCalc -- publishing_decision

GitHub Repository: DataScienceUWL/DS775
Path: blob/main/Lessons/Lesson 11 - Decision Analysis/Silver_Decisions_files/publishing_decision_tree.json
⁸⁷¹ views
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756
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757
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758
                                },
759
                                "min-max": {
760
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761
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762
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763
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764
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765
                                },
766
                                "min-min": {
767
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768
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769
                                },
770
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771
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772
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773
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774
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775
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776
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777
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778
                                0
779
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780
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781
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782
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783
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784
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785
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786
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787
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788
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789
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790
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791
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792
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793
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794
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795
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796
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797
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798
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799
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800
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801
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802
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803
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804
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805
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806
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807
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808
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809
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810
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811
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812
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813
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814
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815
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816
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817
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818
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819
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820
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821
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822
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823
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824
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825
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826
                                    ]
827
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828
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829
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830
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831
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832
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833
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834
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835
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836
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837
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838
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839
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840
                                      "0"
841
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842
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843
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844
                                    "payoff": [
845
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846
                                      "0"
847
                                    ],
848
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849
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850
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851
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852
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853
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854
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855
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857
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858
                                      "400",
859
                                      "0"
860
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861
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862
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863
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864
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865
                                      "0"
866
                                    ],
867
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868
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869
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870
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871
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872
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873
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874
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875
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876
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877
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878
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879
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880
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881
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883
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884
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885
                                    ]
886
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887
                                },
888
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889
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890
                                "code": "",
891
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892
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893
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894
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895
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896
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897
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898
                                },
899
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900
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901
                            },
902
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903
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904
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905
                                  "20",
906
                                  "0"
907
                                ],
908
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909
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910
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911
                                },
912
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913
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914
                                },
915
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916
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917
                                },
918
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919
                                  "probability": "51/79",
920
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921
                                },
922
                                "mini-min": {
923
                                  "probability": 1,
924
                                  "optimal": true
925
                                },
926
                                "mini-max": {
927
                                  "probability": 0
928
                                },
929
                                "min-max": {
930
                                  "probability": "51/79",
931
                                  "optimal": true
932
                                },
933
                                "max-min": {
934
                                  "probability": "51/79"
935
                                },
936
                                "min-min": {
937
                                  "probability": "51/79",
938
                                  "optimal": true
939
                                },
940
                                "max-max": {
941
                                  "probability": "51/79"
942
                                }
943
                              },
944
                              "name": "No",
945
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946
                              "payoff": [
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948
                                0
949
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950
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951
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952
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953
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954
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955
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956
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958
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959
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960
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961
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962
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963
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964
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965
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966
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967
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968
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969
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970
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971
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972
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973
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974
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975
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976
                                      "20"
977
                                    ]
978
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979
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980
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981
                                      "-80"
982
                                    ],
983
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "51/200",
984
                                    "payoff": [
985
                                      "20"
986
                                    ],
987
                                    "optimal": true
988
                                  },
989
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990
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991
                                      "-80"
992
                                    ],
993
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994
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995
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996
                                    ],
997
                                    "optimal": true
998
                                  },
999
                                  "mini-max": {
1000
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1001
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1002
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1003
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1004
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1005
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1006
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1007
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1008
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1009
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1010
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1011
                                      "0"
1012
                                    ],
1013
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1014
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-20",
1015
                                    "payoff": [
1016
                                      "20",
1017
                                      "0"
1018
                                    ],
1019
                                    "optimal": true
1020
                                  },
1021
                                  "max-min": {
1022
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1023
                                      "-80",
1024
                                      "0"
1025
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1026
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1028
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1029
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1030
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1031
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1032
                                  },
1033
                                  "min-min": {
1034
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1035
                                      "-80",
1036
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1037
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1038
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1039
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1040
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1041
                                      "20",
1042
                                      "0"
1043
                                    ],
1044
                                    "optimal": true
1045
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1046
                                  "max-max": {
1047
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1048
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1049
                                      "0"
1050
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1051
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1052
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1053
                                    "payoff": [
1054
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1055
                                      "0"
1056
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1057
                                  }
1058
                                },
1059
                                "childEdges": [],
1060
                                "name": "",
1061
                                "code": "",
1062
                                "expressionScope": {
1063
                                  "p": 0.7
1064
                                },
1065
                                "folded": false,
1066
                                "location": {
1067
                                  "x": 620,
1068
                                  "y": 425
1069
                                },
1070
                                "type": "terminal"
1071
                              }
1072
                            }
1073
                          ],
1074
                          "name": "Book\nSuccessful?",
1075
                          "code": "",
1076
                          "expressionScope": {
1077
                            "p": 0.7
1078
                          },
1079
                          "folded": false,
1080
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1081
                            "x": 470,
1082
                            "y": 387.5
1083
                          },
1084
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1085
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1086
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1087
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1088
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1089
                          "payoff": [
1090
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1091
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1092
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1093
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1094
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1095
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1096
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1097
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1098
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1099
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1100
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1101
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1102
                          },
1103
                          "expected-value-minimization": {
1104
                            "probability": 0,
1105
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1106
                          },
1107
                          "mini-min": {
1108
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1109
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1110
                          },
1111
                          "mini-max": {
1112
                            "probability": 1,
1113
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1114
                          },
1115
                          "min-max": {
1116
                            "probability": 0,
1117
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1118
                          },
1119
                          "max-min": {
1120
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1121
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1122
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1123
                          "min-min": {
1124
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1125
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1126
                          },
1127
                          "max-max": {
1128
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1129
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1130
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1131
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1132
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1133
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1134
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1135
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1136
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1137
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1138
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1139
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1140
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1141
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1142
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1143
                              "payoff": [
1144
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1145
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1146
                              "optimal": true
1147
                            },
1148
                            "maxi-min": {
1149
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1150
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1151
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1152
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1153
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1154
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1155
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1156
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1157
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1158
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1159
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1160
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1161
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1162
                              ]
1163
                            },
1164
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1165
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1166
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1167
                              ],
1168
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1169
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1170
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1171
                            },
1172
                            "mini-min": {
1173
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1174
                                "10"
1175
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1176
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1177
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1178
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1179
                            },
1180
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1181
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1182
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1183
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1184
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1185
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1186
                              ],
1187
                              "optimal": true
1188
                            },
1189
                            "min-max": {
1190
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1191
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1192
                                "0"
1193
                              ],
1194
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1195
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1196
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1197
                                "0"
1198
                              ]
1199
                            },
1200
                            "max-min": {
1201
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1202
                                "77 27/79",
1203
                                "0"
1204
                              ],
1205
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1206
                              "payoff": [
1207
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1208
                                "0"
1209
                              ],
1210
                              "optimal": true
1211
                            },
1212
                            "min-min": {
1213
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1214
                                "77 27/79",
1215
                                "0"
1216
                              ],
1217
                              "combinedPayoff": "-97 27/79",
1218
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1219
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1220
                                "0"
1221
                              ]
1222
                            },
1223
                            "max-max": {
1224
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1225
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1226
                                "0"
1227
                              ],
1228
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1229
                              "payoff": [
1230
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1231
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1232
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1233
                              "optimal": true
1234
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1235
                          },
1236
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1237
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1238
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1239
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1240
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1241
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1242
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1243
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1244
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1245
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1246
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1247
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1248
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1249
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1250
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1251
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1252
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1254
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1255
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1256
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1258
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1259
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1260
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1261
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1264
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1265
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1266
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1267
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1268
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1269
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1270
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1271
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1272
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1273
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1274
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1276
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1277
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1278
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1279
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1280
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1281
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1282
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1283
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1285
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1287
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1289
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1291
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1292
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1293
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1294
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1295
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1297
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1298
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1300
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1301
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1303
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1305
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1310
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1311
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1320
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1321
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1323
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1327
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1331
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1334
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1335
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1336
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1337
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1338
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1340
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1341
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1343
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1345
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1346
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1347
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1348
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1350
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1351
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1352
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1353
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1354
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1355
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1356
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1357
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1358
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1359
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1360
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1361
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1362
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1363
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1364
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1365
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1366
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1367
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1368
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1369
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1370
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1371
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1372
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1373
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1374
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1375
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1376
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1377
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1378
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1379
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1380
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1381
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1382
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1383
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1384
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1385
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1386
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1387
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1388
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1389
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1390
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1391
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1392
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1393
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1394
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1395
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1396
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1397
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1398
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1399
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1400
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1401
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1402
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1403
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1404
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1405
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1406
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1407
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1408
                            {
1409
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1410
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1411
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1412
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1413
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1414
                                "probability": "51/79",
1415
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1416
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1417
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1418
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1419
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1420
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1421
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1422
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1423
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1424
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1425
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1426
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1427
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1428
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1429
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1430
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1431
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1432
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1433
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1434
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1435
                                "min-max": {
1436
                                  "probability": "51/79"
1437
                                },
1438
                                "max-min": {
1439
                                  "probability": "51/79",
1440
                                  "optimal": true
1441
                                },
1442
                                "min-min": {
1443
                                  "probability": "51/79"
1444
                                },
1445
                                "max-max": {
1446
                                  "probability": "51/79",
1447
                                  "optimal": true
1448
                                }
1449
                              },
1450
                              "name": "No",
1451
                              "probability": ".85*(1-p)/(-.65*p+.85)",
1452
                              "payoff": [
1453
                                "10",
1454
                                0
1455
                              ],
1456
                              "childNode": {
1457
                                "computed": {
1458
                                  "expected-value-maximization": {
1459
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1460
                                      "20"
1461
                                    ],
1462
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "51/200",
1463
                                    "payoff": [
1464
                                      "10"
1465
                                    ],
1466
                                    "optimal": true
1467
                                  },
1468
                                  "maxi-min": {
1469
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1470
                                      "20"
1471
                                    ],
1472
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1473
                                    "payoff": [
1474
                                      "10"
1475
                                    ]
1476
                                  },
1477
                                  "maxi-max": {
1478
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1479
                                      "20"
1480
                                    ],
1481
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1482
                                    "payoff": [
1483
                                      "10"
1484
                                    ]
1485
                                  },
1486
                                  "expected-value-minimization": {
1487
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1488
                                      "20"
1489
                                    ],
1490
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1491
                                    "payoff": [
1492
                                      "10"
1493
                                    ]
1494
                                  },
1495
                                  "mini-min": {
1496
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1497
                                      "20"
1498
                                    ],
1499
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1500
                                    "payoff": [
1501
                                      "10"
1502
                                    ]
1503
                                  },
1504
                                  "mini-max": {
1505
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1506
                                      "20"
1507
                                    ],
1508
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1509
                                    "payoff": [
1510
                                      "10"
1511
                                    ]
1512
                                  },
1513
                                  "min-max": {
1514
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1515
                                      "20",
1516
                                      "0"
1517
                                    ],
1518
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1519
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-10",
1520
                                    "payoff": [
1521
                                      "10",
1522
                                      "0"
1523
                                    ]
1524
                                  },
1525
                                  "max-min": {
1526
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1527
                                      "20",
1528
                                      "0"
1529
                                    ],
1530
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "51/200",
1531
                                    "combinedPayoff": "10",
1532
                                    "payoff": [
1533
                                      "10",
1534
                                      "0"
1535
                                    ],
1536
                                    "optimal": true
1537
                                  },
1538
                                  "min-min": {
1539
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1540
                                      "20",
1541
                                      "0"
1542
                                    ],
1543
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1544
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-10",
1545
                                    "payoff": [
1546
                                      "10",
1547
                                      "0"
1548
                                    ]
1549
                                  },
1550
                                  "max-max": {
1551
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1552
                                      "20",
1553
                                      "0"
1554
                                    ],
1555
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "51/200",
1556
                                    "combinedPayoff": "10",
1557
                                    "payoff": [
1558
                                      "10",
1559
                                      "0"
1560
                                    ],
1561
                                    "optimal": true
1562
                                  }
1563
                                },
1564
                                "childEdges": [],
1565
                                "name": "",
1566
                                "code": "",
1567
                                "expressionScope": {
1568
                                  "p": 0.7
1569
                                },
1570
                                "folded": false,
1571
                                "location": {
1572
                                  "x": 620,
1573
                                  "y": 590
1574
                                },
1575
                                "type": "terminal"
1576
                              }
1577
                            }
1578
                          ],
1579
                          "name": "Book\nSuccessful?",
1580
                          "code": "",
1581
                          "expressionScope": {
1582
                            "p": 0.7
1583
                          },
1584
                          "folded": false,
1585
                          "location": {
1586
                            "x": 470,
1587
                            "y": 552.5
1588
                          },
1589
                          "type": "chance"
1590
                        }
1591
                      }
1592
                    ],
1593
                    "name": "Who publishes?",
1594
                    "code": "",
1595
                    "expressionScope": {
1596
                      "p": 0.7
1597
                    },
1598
                    "folded": false,
1599
                    "location": {
1600
                      "x": 320,
1601
                      "y": 470
1602
                    },
1603
                    "type": "decision"
1604
                  }
1605
                },
1606
                {
1607
                  "computed": {
1608
                    "payoff": [
1609
                      "0",
1610
                      "0"
1611
                    ],
1612
                    "probability": "121/200",
1613
                    "expected-value-maximization": {
1614
                      "probability": "121/200",
1615
                      "optimal": true
1616
                    },
1617
                    "maxi-min": {
1618
                      "probability": 0.5
1619
                    },
1620
                    "maxi-max": {
1621
                      "probability": 0.5
1622
                    },
1623
                    "expected-value-minimization": {
1624
                      "probability": "121/200",
1625
                      "optimal": true
1626
                    },
1627
                    "mini-min": {
1628
                      "probability": 0.5,
1629
                      "optimal": true
1630
                    },
1631
                    "mini-max": {
1632
                      "probability": 0.5,
1633
                      "optimal": true
1634
                    },
1635
                    "min-max": {
1636
                      "probability": "121/200",
1637
                      "optimal": true
1638
                    },
1639
                    "max-min": {
1640
                      "probability": "121/200",
1641
                      "optimal": true
1642
                    },
1643
                    "min-min": {
1644
                      "probability": "121/200",
1645
                      "optimal": true
1646
                    },
1647
                    "max-max": {
1648
                      "probability": "121/200",
1649
                      "optimal": true
1650
                    }
1651
                  },
1652
                  "name": "Yes",
1653
                  "probability": ".65*p + .15",
1654
                  "payoff": [
1655
                    "0",
1656
                    0
1657
                  ],
1658
                  "childNode": {
1659
                    "computed": {
1660
                      "expected-value-maximization": {
1661
                        "childrenPayoff": [
1662
                          "281 89/121"
1663
                        ],
1664
                        "payoff": [
1665
                          "281 89/121"
1666
                        ],
1667
                        "optimal": true
1668
                      },
1669
                      "maxi-min": {
1670
                        "childrenPayoff": [
1671
                          "30"
1672
                        ],
1673
                        "payoff": [
1674
                          "30"
1675
                        ]
1676
                      },
1677
                      "maxi-max": {
1678
                        "childrenPayoff": [
1679
                          "310"
1680
                        ],
1681
                        "payoff": [
1682
                          "310"
1683
                        ]
1684
                      },
1685
                      "expected-value-minimization": {
1686
                        "childrenPayoff": [
1687
                          "205 105/121"
1688
                        ],
1689
                        "payoff": [
1690
                          "205 105/121"
1691
                        ],
1692
                        "optimal": true
1693
                      },
1694
                      "mini-min": {
1695
                        "childrenPayoff": [
1696
                          "-70"
1697
                        ],
1698
                        "payoff": [
1699
                          "-70"
1700
                        ],
1701
                        "optimal": true
1702
                      },
1703
                      "mini-max": {
1704
                        "childrenPayoff": [
1705
                          "220"
1706
                        ],
1707
                        "payoff": [
1708
                          "220"
1709
                        ],
1710
                        "optimal": true
1711
                      },
1712
                      "min-max": {
1713
                        "childrenPayoff": [
1714
                          "205 105/121",
1715
                          "0"
1716
                        ],
1717
                        "combinedPayoff": "-205 105/121",
1718
                        "payoff": [
1719
                          "205 105/121",
1720
                          "0"
1721
                        ],
1722
                        "optimal": true
1723
                      },
1724
                      "max-min": {
1725
                        "childrenPayoff": [
1726
                          "281 89/121",
1727
                          "0"
1728
                        ],
1729
                        "combinedPayoff": "281 89/121",
1730
                        "payoff": [
1731
                          "281 89/121",
1732
                          "0"
1733
                        ],
1734
                        "optimal": true
1735
                      },
1736
                      "min-min": {
1737
                        "childrenPayoff": [
1738
                          "205 105/121",
1739
                          "0"
1740
                        ],
1741
                        "combinedPayoff": "-205 105/121",
1742
                        "payoff": [
1743
                          "205 105/121",
1744
                          "0"
1745
                        ],
1746
                        "optimal": true
1747
                      },
1748
                      "max-max": {
1749
                        "childrenPayoff": [
1750
                          "281 89/121",
1751
                          "0"
1752
                        ],
1753
                        "combinedPayoff": "281 89/121",
1754
                        "payoff": [
1755
                          "281 89/121",
1756
                          "0"
1757
                        ],
1758
                        "optimal": true
1759
                      }
1760
                    },
1761
                    "childEdges": [
1762
                      {
1763
                        "computed": {
1764
                          "payoff": [
1765
                            "-90",
1766
                            "0"
1767
                          ],
1768
                          "expected-value-maximization": {
1769
                            "probability": 1,
1770
                            "optimal": true
1771
                          },
1772
                          "maxi-min": {
1773
                            "probability": 0
1774
                          },
1775
                          "maxi-max": {
1776
                            "probability": 1
1777
                          },
1778
                          "expected-value-minimization": {
1779
                            "probability": 0,
1780
                            "optimal": false
1781
                          },
1782
                          "mini-min": {
1783
                            "probability": 1,
1784
                            "optimal": true
1785
                          },
1786
                          "mini-max": {
1787
                            "probability": 0,
1788
                            "optimal": false
1789
                          },
1790
                          "min-max": {
1791
                            "probability": 0,
1792
                            "optimal": false
1793
                          },
1794
                          "max-min": {
1795
                            "probability": 1,
1796
                            "optimal": true
1797
                          },
1798
                          "min-min": {
1799
                            "probability": 0,
1800
                            "optimal": false
1801
                          },
1802
                          "max-max": {
1803
                            "probability": 1,
1804
                            "optimal": true
1805
                          }
1806
                        },
1807
                        "name": "You",
1808
                        "payoff": [
1809
                          "-90",
1810
                          0
1811
                        ],
1812
                        "childNode": {
1813
                          "computed": {
1814
                            "expected-value-maximization": {
1815
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1816
                                "371 89/121"
1817
                              ],
1818
                              "payoff": [
1819
                                "281 89/121"
1820
                              ],
1821
                              "optimal": true
1822
                            },
1823
                            "maxi-min": {
1824
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1825
                                "20"
1826
                              ],
1827
                              "payoff": [
1828
                                "-70"
1829
                              ]
1830
                            },
1831
                            "maxi-max": {
1832
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1833
                                "400"
1834
                              ],
1835
                              "payoff": [
1836
                                "310"
1837
                              ]
1838
                            },
1839
                            "expected-value-minimization": {
1840
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1841
                                "371 89/121"
1842
                              ],
1843
                              "payoff": [
1844
                                "281 89/121"
1845
                              ]
1846
                            },
1847
                            "mini-min": {
1848
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1849
                                "20"
1850
                              ],
1851
                              "payoff": [
1852
                                "-70"
1853
                              ],
1854
                              "optimal": true
1855
                            },
1856
                            "mini-max": {
1857
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1858
                                "400"
1859
                              ],
1860
                              "payoff": [
1861
                                "310"
1862
                              ]
1863
                            },
1864
                            "min-max": {
1865
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1866
                                "371 89/121",
1867
                                "0"
1868
                              ],
1869
                              "combinedPayoff": "-281 89/121",
1870
                              "payoff": [
1871
                                "281 89/121",
1872
                                "0"
1873
                              ]
1874
                            },
1875
                            "max-min": {
1876
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1877
                                "371 89/121",
1878
                                "0"
1879
                              ],
1880
                              "combinedPayoff": "281 89/121",
1881
                              "payoff": [
1882
                                "281 89/121",
1883
                                "0"
1884
                              ],
1885
                              "optimal": true
1886
                            },
1887
                            "min-min": {
1888
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1889
                                "371 89/121",
1890
                                "0"
1891
                              ],
1892
                              "combinedPayoff": "-281 89/121",
1893
                              "payoff": [
1894
                                "281 89/121",
1895
                                "0"
1896
                              ]
1897
                            },
1898
                            "max-max": {
1899
                              "childrenPayoff": [
1900
                                "371 89/121",
1901
                                "0"
1902
                              ],
1903
                              "combinedPayoff": "281 89/121",
1904
                              "payoff": [
1905
                                "281 89/121",
1906
                                "0"
1907
                              ],
1908
                              "optimal": true
1909
                            }
1910
                          },
1911
                          "childEdges": [
1912
                            {
1913
                              "computed": {
1914
                                "payoff": [
1915
                                  "400",
1916
                                  "0"
1917
                                ],
1918
                                "probability": "112/121",
1919
                                "expected-value-maximization": {
1920
                                  "probability": "112/121",
1921
                                  "optimal": true
1922
                                },
1923
                                "maxi-min": {
1924
                                  "probability": 0
1925
                                },
1926
                                "maxi-max": {
1927
                                  "probability": 1
1928
                                },
1929
                                "expected-value-minimization": {
1930
                                  "probability": "112/121"
1931
                                },
1932
                                "mini-min": {
1933
                                  "probability": 0,
1934
                                  "optimal": false
1935
                                },
1936
                                "mini-max": {
1937
                                  "probability": 1
1938
                                },
1939
                                "min-max": {
1940
                                  "probability": "112/121"
1941
                                },
1942
                                "max-min": {
1943
                                  "probability": "112/121",
1944
                                  "optimal": true
1945
                                },
1946
                                "min-min": {
1947
                                  "probability": "112/121"
1948
                                },
1949
                                "max-max": {
1950
                                  "probability": "112/121",
1951
                                  "optimal": true
1952
                                }
1953
                              },
1954
                              "name": "Yes",
1955
                              "probability": ".8*p/(.65*p+.15)",
1956
                              "payoff": [
1957
                                "400",
1958
                                0
1959
                              ],
1960
                              "childNode": {
1961
                                "computed": {
1962
                                  "expected-value-maximization": {
1963
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1964
                                      "300"
1965
                                    ],
1966
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "14/25",
1967
                                    "payoff": [
1968
                                      "400"
1969
                                    ],
1970
                                    "optimal": true
1971
                                  },
1972
                                  "maxi-min": {
1973
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1974
                                      "300"
1975
                                    ],
1976
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1977
                                    "payoff": [
1978
                                      "400"
1979
                                    ]
1980
                                  },
1981
                                  "maxi-max": {
1982
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1983
                                      "300"
1984
                                    ],
1985
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1986
                                    "payoff": [
1987
                                      "400"
1988
                                    ]
1989
                                  },
1990
                                  "expected-value-minimization": {
1991
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
1992
                                      "300"
1993
                                    ],
1994
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
1995
                                    "payoff": [
1996
                                      "400"
1997
                                    ]
1998
                                  },
1999
                                  "mini-min": {
2000
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2001
                                      "300"
2002
                                    ],
2003
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2004
                                    "payoff": [
2005
                                      "400"
2006
                                    ]
2007
                                  },
2008
                                  "mini-max": {
2009
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2010
                                      "300"
2011
                                    ],
2012
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2013
                                    "payoff": [
2014
                                      "400"
2015
                                    ]
2016
                                  },
2017
                                  "min-max": {
2018
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2019
                                      "300",
2020
                                      "0"
2021
                                    ],
2022
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2023
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-400",
2024
                                    "payoff": [
2025
                                      "400",
2026
                                      "0"
2027
                                    ]
2028
                                  },
2029
                                  "max-min": {
2030
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2031
                                      "300",
2032
                                      "0"
2033
                                    ],
2034
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "14/25",
2035
                                    "combinedPayoff": "400",
2036
                                    "payoff": [
2037
                                      "400",
2038
                                      "0"
2039
                                    ],
2040
                                    "optimal": true
2041
                                  },
2042
                                  "min-min": {
2043
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2044
                                      "300",
2045
                                      "0"
2046
                                    ],
2047
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2048
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-400",
2049
                                    "payoff": [
2050
                                      "400",
2051
                                      "0"
2052
                                    ]
2053
                                  },
2054
                                  "max-max": {
2055
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2056
                                      "300",
2057
                                      "0"
2058
                                    ],
2059
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "14/25",
2060
                                    "combinedPayoff": "400",
2061
                                    "payoff": [
2062
                                      "400",
2063
                                      "0"
2064
                                    ],
2065
                                    "optimal": true
2066
                                  }
2067
                                },
2068
                                "childEdges": [],
2069
                                "name": "",
2070
                                "code": "",
2071
                                "expressionScope": {
2072
                                  "p": 0.7
2073
                                },
2074
                                "folded": false,
2075
                                "location": {
2076
                                  "x": 620,
2077
                                  "y": 20
2078
                                },
2079
                                "type": "terminal"
2080
                              }
2081
                            },
2082
                            {
2083
                              "computed": {
2084
                                "payoff": [
2085
                                  "20",
2086
                                  "0"
2087
                                ],
2088
                                "probability": "9/121",
2089
                                "expected-value-maximization": {
2090
                                  "probability": "9/121",
2091
                                  "optimal": true
2092
                                },
2093
                                "maxi-min": {
2094
                                  "probability": 1
2095
                                },
2096
                                "maxi-max": {
2097
                                  "probability": 0
2098
                                },
2099
                                "expected-value-minimization": {
2100
                                  "probability": "9/121"
2101
                                },
2102
                                "mini-min": {
2103
                                  "probability": 1,
2104
                                  "optimal": true
2105
                                },
2106
                                "mini-max": {
2107
                                  "probability": 0
2108
                                },
2109
                                "min-max": {
2110
                                  "probability": "9/121"
2111
                                },
2112
                                "max-min": {
2113
                                  "probability": "9/121",
2114
                                  "optimal": true
2115
                                },
2116
                                "min-min": {
2117
                                  "probability": "9/121"
2118
                                },
2119
                                "max-max": {
2120
                                  "probability": "9/121",
2121
                                  "optimal": true
2122
                                }
2123
                              },
2124
                              "name": "No",
2125
                              "probability": ".15*(1-p)/(.65*p+.15)",
2126
                              "payoff": [
2127
                                "20",
2128
                                0
2129
                              ],
2130
                              "childNode": {
2131
                                "computed": {
2132
                                  "expected-value-maximization": {
2133
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2134
                                      "-80"
2135
                                    ],
2136
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "9/200",
2137
                                    "payoff": [
2138
                                      "20"
2139
                                    ],
2140
                                    "optimal": true
2141
                                  },
2142
                                  "maxi-min": {
2143
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2144
                                      "-80"
2145
                                    ],
2146
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2147
                                    "payoff": [
2148
                                      "20"
2149
                                    ]
2150
                                  },
2151
                                  "maxi-max": {
2152
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2153
                                      "-80"
2154
                                    ],
2155
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2156
                                    "payoff": [
2157
                                      "20"
2158
                                    ]
2159
                                  },
2160
                                  "expected-value-minimization": {
2161
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2162
                                      "-80"
2163
                                    ],
2164
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2165
                                    "payoff": [
2166
                                      "20"
2167
                                    ]
2168
                                  },
2169
                                  "mini-min": {
2170
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2171
                                      "-80"
2172
                                    ],
2173
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "1/2",
2174
                                    "payoff": [
2175
                                      "20"
2176
                                    ],
2177
                                    "optimal": true
2178
                                  },
2179
                                  "mini-max": {
2180
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2181
                                      "-80"
2182
                                    ],
2183
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2184
                                    "payoff": [
2185
                                      "20"
2186
                                    ]
2187
                                  },
2188
                                  "min-max": {
2189
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2190
                                      "-80",
2191
                                      "0"
2192
                                    ],
2193
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2194
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-20",
2195
                                    "payoff": [
2196
                                      "20",
2197
                                      "0"
2198
                                    ]
2199
                                  },
2200
                                  "max-min": {
2201
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2202
                                      "-80",
2203
                                      "0"
2204
                                    ],
2205
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "9/200",
2206
                                    "combinedPayoff": "20",
2207
                                    "payoff": [
2208
                                      "20",
2209
                                      "0"
2210
                                    ],
2211
                                    "optimal": true
2212
                                  },
2213
                                  "min-min": {
2214
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2215
                                      "-80",
2216
                                      "0"
2217
                                    ],
2218
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2219
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-20",
2220
                                    "payoff": [
2221
                                      "20",
2222
                                      "0"
2223
                                    ]
2224
                                  },
2225
                                  "max-max": {
2226
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2227
                                      "-80",
2228
                                      "0"
2229
                                    ],
2230
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "9/200",
2231
                                    "combinedPayoff": "20",
2232
                                    "payoff": [
2233
                                      "20",
2234
                                      "0"
2235
                                    ],
2236
                                    "optimal": true
2237
                                  }
2238
                                },
2239
                                "childEdges": [],
2240
                                "name": "",
2241
                                "code": "",
2242
                                "expressionScope": {
2243
                                  "p": 0.7
2244
                                },
2245
                                "folded": false,
2246
                                "location": {
2247
                                  "x": 620,
2248
                                  "y": 95
2249
                                },
2250
                                "type": "terminal"
2251
                              }
2252
                            }
2253
                          ],
2254
                          "name": "Book\nSuccessful?",
2255
                          "code": "",
2256
                          "expressionScope": {
2257
                            "p": 0.7
2258
                          },
2259
                          "folded": false,
2260
                          "location": {
2261
                            "x": 470,
2262
                            "y": 57.5
2263
                          },
2264
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2265
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2266
                      },
2267
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2268
                        "computed": {
2269
                          "payoff": [
2270
                            "20",
2271
                            "0"
2272
                          ],
2273
                          "expected-value-maximization": {
2274
                            "probability": 0,
2275
                            "optimal": false
2276
                          },
2277
                          "maxi-min": {
2278
                            "probability": 1
2279
                          },
2280
                          "maxi-max": {
2281
                            "probability": 0
2282
                          },
2283
                          "expected-value-minimization": {
2284
                            "probability": 1,
2285
                            "optimal": true
2286
                          },
2287
                          "mini-min": {
2288
                            "probability": 0,
2289
                            "optimal": false
2290
                          },
2291
                          "mini-max": {
2292
                            "probability": 1,
2293
                            "optimal": true
2294
                          },
2295
                          "min-max": {
2296
                            "probability": 1,
2297
                            "optimal": true
2298
                          },
2299
                          "max-min": {
2300
                            "probability": 0,
2301
                            "optimal": false
2302
                          },
2303
                          "min-min": {
2304
                            "probability": 1,
2305
                            "optimal": true
2306
                          },
2307
                          "max-max": {
2308
                            "probability": 0,
2309
                            "optimal": false
2310
                          }
2311
                        },
2312
                        "name": "Publisher",
2313
                        "payoff": [
2314
                          "20",
2315
                          0
2316
                        ],
2317
                        "childNode": {
2318
                          "computed": {
2319
                            "expected-value-maximization": {
2320
                              "childrenPayoff": [
2321
                                "185 105/121"
2322
                              ],
2323
                              "payoff": [
2324
                                "205 105/121"
2325
                              ]
2326
                            },
2327
                            "maxi-min": {
2328
                              "childrenPayoff": [
2329
                                "10"
2330
                              ],
2331
                              "payoff": [
2332
                                "30"
2333
                              ]
2334
                            },
2335
                            "maxi-max": {
2336
                              "childrenPayoff": [
2337
                                "200"
2338
                              ],
2339
                              "payoff": [
2340
                                "220"
2341
                              ]
2342
                            },
2343
                            "expected-value-minimization": {
2344
                              "childrenPayoff": [
2345
                                "185 105/121"
2346
                              ],
2347
                              "payoff": [
2348
                                "205 105/121"
2349
                              ],
2350
                              "optimal": true
2351
                            },
2352
                            "mini-min": {
2353
                              "childrenPayoff": [
2354
                                "10"
2355
                              ],
2356
                              "payoff": [
2357
                                "30"
2358
                              ]
2359
                            },
2360
                            "mini-max": {
2361
                              "childrenPayoff": [
2362
                                "200"
2363
                              ],
2364
                              "payoff": [
2365
                                "220"
2366
                              ],
2367
                              "optimal": true
2368
                            },
2369
                            "min-max": {
2370
                              "childrenPayoff": [
2371
                                "185 105/121",
2372
                                "0"
2373
                              ],
2374
                              "combinedPayoff": "-205 105/121",
2375
                              "payoff": [
2376
                                "205 105/121",
2377
                                "0"
2378
                              ],
2379
                              "optimal": true
2380
                            },
2381
                            "max-min": {
2382
                              "childrenPayoff": [
2383
                                "185 105/121",
2384
                                "0"
2385
                              ],
2386
                              "combinedPayoff": "205 105/121",
2387
                              "payoff": [
2388
                                "205 105/121",
2389
                                "0"
2390
                              ]
2391
                            },
2392
                            "min-min": {
2393
                              "childrenPayoff": [
2394
                                "185 105/121",
2395
                                "0"
2396
                              ],
2397
                              "combinedPayoff": "-205 105/121",
2398
                              "payoff": [
2399
                                "205 105/121",
2400
                                "0"
2401
                              ],
2402
                              "optimal": true
2403
                            },
2404
                            "max-max": {
2405
                              "childrenPayoff": [
2406
                                "185 105/121",
2407
                                "0"
2408
                              ],
2409
                              "combinedPayoff": "205 105/121",
2410
                              "payoff": [
2411
                                "205 105/121",
2412
                                "0"
2413
                              ]
2414
                            }
2415
                          },
2416
                          "childEdges": [
2417
                            {
2418
                              "computed": {
2419
                                "payoff": [
2420
                                  "200",
2421
                                  "0"
2422
                                ],
2423
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2424
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2425
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2426
                                },
2427
                                "maxi-min": {
2428
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2429
                                },
2430
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2431
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2432
                                },
2433
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2434
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2435
                                  "optimal": true
2436
                                },
2437
                                "mini-min": {
2438
                                  "probability": 0
2439
                                },
2440
                                "mini-max": {
2441
                                  "probability": 1,
2442
                                  "optimal": true
2443
                                },
2444
                                "min-max": {
2445
                                  "probability": "112/121",
2446
                                  "optimal": true
2447
                                },
2448
                                "max-min": {
2449
                                  "probability": "112/121"
2450
                                },
2451
                                "min-min": {
2452
                                  "probability": "112/121",
2453
                                  "optimal": true
2454
                                },
2455
                                "max-max": {
2456
                                  "probability": "112/121"
2457
                                }
2458
                              },
2459
                              "name": "Yes",
2460
                              "probability": ".8*p/(.65*p+.15)",
2461
                              "payoff": [
2462
                                "200",
2463
                                0
2464
                              ],
2465
                              "childNode": {
2466
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2467
                                  "expected-value-maximization": {
2468
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2469
                                      "210"
2470
                                    ],
2471
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2472
                                    "payoff": [
2473
                                      "200"
2474
                                    ]
2475
                                  },
2476
                                  "maxi-min": {
2477
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2478
                                      "210"
2479
                                    ],
2480
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2481
                                    "payoff": [
2482
                                      "200"
2483
                                    ]
2484
                                  },
2485
                                  "maxi-max": {
2486
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2487
                                      "210"
2488
                                    ],
2489
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2490
                                    "payoff": [
2491
                                      "200"
2492
                                    ]
2493
                                  },
2494
                                  "expected-value-minimization": {
2495
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2496
                                      "210"
2497
                                    ],
2498
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "14/25",
2499
                                    "payoff": [
2500
                                      "200"
2501
                                    ],
2502
                                    "optimal": true
2503
                                  },
2504
                                  "mini-min": {
2505
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2506
                                      "210"
2507
                                    ],
2508
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2509
                                    "payoff": [
2510
                                      "200"
2511
                                    ]
2512
                                  },
2513
                                  "mini-max": {
2514
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2515
                                      "210"
2516
                                    ],
2517
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "1/2",
2518
                                    "payoff": [
2519
                                      "200"
2520
                                    ],
2521
                                    "optimal": true
2522
                                  },
2523
                                  "min-max": {
2524
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2525
                                      "210",
2526
                                      "0"
2527
                                    ],
2528
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "14/25",
2529
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-200",
2530
                                    "payoff": [
2531
                                      "200",
2532
                                      "0"
2533
                                    ],
2534
                                    "optimal": true
2535
                                  },
2536
                                  "max-min": {
2537
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2538
                                      "210",
2539
                                      "0"
2540
                                    ],
2541
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2542
                                    "combinedPayoff": "200",
2543
                                    "payoff": [
2544
                                      "200",
2545
                                      "0"
2546
                                    ]
2547
                                  },
2548
                                  "min-min": {
2549
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2550
                                      "210",
2551
                                      "0"
2552
                                    ],
2553
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "14/25",
2554
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-200",
2555
                                    "payoff": [
2556
                                      "200",
2557
                                      "0"
2558
                                    ],
2559
                                    "optimal": true
2560
                                  },
2561
                                  "max-max": {
2562
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2563
                                      "210",
2564
                                      "0"
2565
                                    ],
2566
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2567
                                    "combinedPayoff": "200",
2568
                                    "payoff": [
2569
                                      "200",
2570
                                      "0"
2571
                                    ]
2572
                                  }
2573
                                },
2574
                                "childEdges": [],
2575
                                "name": "",
2576
                                "code": "",
2577
                                "expressionScope": {
2578
                                  "p": 0.7
2579
                                },
2580
                                "folded": false,
2581
                                "location": {
2582
                                  "x": 620,
2583
                                  "y": 185
2584
                                },
2585
                                "type": "terminal"
2586
                              }
2587
                            },
2588
                            {
2589
                              "computed": {
2590
                                "payoff": [
2591
                                  "10",
2592
                                  "0"
2593
                                ],
2594
                                "probability": "9/121",
2595
                                "expected-value-maximization": {
2596
                                  "probability": "9/121"
2597
                                },
2598
                                "maxi-min": {
2599
                                  "probability": 1
2600
                                },
2601
                                "maxi-max": {
2602
                                  "probability": 0
2603
                                },
2604
                                "expected-value-minimization": {
2605
                                  "probability": "9/121",
2606
                                  "optimal": true
2607
                                },
2608
                                "mini-min": {
2609
                                  "probability": 1
2610
                                },
2611
                                "mini-max": {
2612
                                  "probability": 0,
2613
                                  "optimal": false
2614
                                },
2615
                                "min-max": {
2616
                                  "probability": "9/121",
2617
                                  "optimal": true
2618
                                },
2619
                                "max-min": {
2620
                                  "probability": "9/121"
2621
                                },
2622
                                "min-min": {
2623
                                  "probability": "9/121",
2624
                                  "optimal": true
2625
                                },
2626
                                "max-max": {
2627
                                  "probability": "9/121"
2628
                                }
2629
                              },
2630
                              "name": "No",
2631
                              "probability": ".15*(1-p)/(.65*p+.15)",
2632
                              "payoff": [
2633
                                "10",
2634
                                0
2635
                              ],
2636
                              "childNode": {
2637
                                "computed": {
2638
                                  "expected-value-maximization": {
2639
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2640
                                      "20"
2641
                                    ],
2642
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2643
                                    "payoff": [
2644
                                      "10"
2645
                                    ]
2646
                                  },
2647
                                  "maxi-min": {
2648
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2649
                                      "20"
2650
                                    ],
2651
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2652
                                    "payoff": [
2653
                                      "10"
2654
                                    ]
2655
                                  },
2656
                                  "maxi-max": {
2657
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2658
                                      "20"
2659
                                    ],
2660
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2661
                                    "payoff": [
2662
                                      "10"
2663
                                    ]
2664
                                  },
2665
                                  "expected-value-minimization": {
2666
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2667
                                      "20"
2668
                                    ],
2669
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "9/200",
2670
                                    "payoff": [
2671
                                      "10"
2672
                                    ],
2673
                                    "optimal": true
2674
                                  },
2675
                                  "mini-min": {
2676
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2677
                                      "20"
2678
                                    ],
2679
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2680
                                    "payoff": [
2681
                                      "10"
2682
                                    ]
2683
                                  },
2684
                                  "mini-max": {
2685
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2686
                                      "20"
2687
                                    ],
2688
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2689
                                    "payoff": [
2690
                                      "10"
2691
                                    ]
2692
                                  },
2693
                                  "min-max": {
2694
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2695
                                      "20",
2696
                                      "0"
2697
                                    ],
2698
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "9/200",
2699
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-10",
2700
                                    "payoff": [
2701
                                      "10",
2702
                                      "0"
2703
                                    ],
2704
                                    "optimal": true
2705
                                  },
2706
                                  "max-min": {
2707
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2708
                                      "20",
2709
                                      "0"
2710
                                    ],
2711
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2712
                                    "combinedPayoff": "10",
2713
                                    "payoff": [
2714
                                      "10",
2715
                                      "0"
2716
                                    ]
2717
                                  },
2718
                                  "min-min": {
2719
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2720
                                      "20",
2721
                                      "0"
2722
                                    ],
2723
                                    "probabilityToEnter": "9/200",
2724
                                    "combinedPayoff": "-10",
2725
                                    "payoff": [
2726
                                      "10",
2727
                                      "0"
2728
                                    ],
2729
                                    "optimal": true
2730
                                  },
2731
                                  "max-max": {
2732
                                    "aggregatedPayoff": [
2733
                                      "20",
2734
                                      "0"
2735
                                    ],
2736
                                    "probabilityToEnter": 0,
2737
                                    "combinedPayoff": "10",
2738
                                    "payoff": [
2739
                                      "10",
2740
                                      "0"
2741
                                    ]
2742
                                  }
2743
                                },
2744
                                "childEdges": [],
2745
                                "name": "",
2746
                                "code": "",
2747
                                "expressionScope": {
2748
                                  "p": 0.7
2749
                                },
2750
                                "folded": false,
2751
                                "location": {
2752
                                  "x": 620,
2753
                                  "y": 260
2754
                                },
2755
                                "type": "terminal"
2756
                              }
2757
                            }
2758
                          ],
2759
                          "name": "Book\nSuccessful?",
2760
                          "code": "",
2761
                          "expressionScope": {
2762
                            "p": 0.7
2763
                          },
2764
                          "folded": false,
2765
                          "location": {
2766
                            "x": 470,
2767
                            "y": 222.5
2768
                          },
2769
                          "type": "chance"
2770
                        }
2771
                      }
2772
                    ],
2773
                    "name": "Who publishes?",
2774
                    "code": "",
2775
                    "expressionScope": {
2776
                      "p": 0.7
2777
                    },
2778
                    "folded": false,
2779
                    "location": {
2780
                      "x": 320,
2781
                      "y": 140
2782
                    },
2783
                    "type": "decision"
2784
                  }
2785
                }
2786
              ],
2787
              "name": "Survey Predicts\nSuccess?",
2788
              "code": "",
2789
              "expressionScope": {
2790
                "p": 0.7
2791
              },
2792
              "folded": false,
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2801
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2951
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2952
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3000
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3024
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3027
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3028
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3032
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3036
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3043
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3053
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3059
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3060
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3064
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3082
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3086
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3092
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3095
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3096
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3119
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3122
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3141
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3207
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3213
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3214
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3220
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3225
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3226
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3228
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3231
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3232
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3237
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3238
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3241
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3242
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3243
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3244
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3257
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3258
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3259
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3260
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3261
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3264
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3265
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3267
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3268
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3274
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3275
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3277
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3278
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3280
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3281
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3283
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3284
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3286
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3287
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3289
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3290
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3291
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3292
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3293
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3294
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3300
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3302
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3303
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3305
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3306
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3309
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3311
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3314
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3315
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3318
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3319
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3320
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3321
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3322
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3323
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3324
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3327
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3328
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3329
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3330
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3331
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3332
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3333
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3334
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3335
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3336
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3337
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3338
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3341
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3342
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3345
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3346
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3347
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3349
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3350
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3351
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3352
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3354
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3355
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3356
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3359
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3360
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3361
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3362
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3363
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3364
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3365
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3366
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3367
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3368
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3369
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3370
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3371
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3373
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3375
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3377
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3378
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3379
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3380
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3381
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3382
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3383
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3385
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3387
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3388
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3389
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3390
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3391
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3392
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3395
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3396
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3399
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3400
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3401
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3402
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3403
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3404
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3405
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3406
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3407
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3408
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3409
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3410
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3411
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3412
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3413
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3415
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3416
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3417
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3418
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3419
                      }
3420
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3421
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3422
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3423
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3424
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3425
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3426
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3428
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3429
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3430
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3431
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3432
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3433
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3434
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3435
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3436
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3437
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3438
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3439
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3441
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3448
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3449
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3451
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3452
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3455
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3458
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3471
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3472
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3473
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3474
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3475
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3476
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3479
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3480
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3486
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3487
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3489
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3490
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3492
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3495
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3497
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3498
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3499
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3500
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3501
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3502
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3504
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3505
                      "expected-value-minimization": {
3506
                        "childrenPayoff": [
3507
                          "143"
3508
                        ],
3509
                        "payoff": [
3510
                          "163"
3511
                        ]
3512
                      },
3513
                      "mini-min": {
3514
                        "childrenPayoff": [
3515
                          "10"
3516
                        ],
3517
                        "payoff": [
3518
                          "30"
3519
                        ]
3520
                      },
3521
                      "mini-max": {
3522
                        "childrenPayoff": [
3523
                          "200"
3524
                        ],
3525
                        "payoff": [
3526
                          "220"
3527
                        ]
3528
                      },
3529
                      "min-max": {
3530
                        "childrenPayoff": [
3531
                          "143",
3532
                          "0"
3533
                        ],
3534
                        "combinedPayoff": "-163",
3535
                        "payoff": [
3536
                          "163",
3537
                          "0"
3538
                        ]
3539
                      },
3540
                      "max-min": {
3541
                        "childrenPayoff": [
3542
                          "143",
3543
                          "0"
3544
                        ],
3545
                        "combinedPayoff": "163",
3546
                        "payoff": [
3547
                          "163",
3548
                          "0"
3549
                        ]
3550
                      },
3551
                      "min-min": {
3552
                        "childrenPayoff": [
3553
                          "143",
3554
                          "0"
3555
                        ],
3556
                        "combinedPayoff": "-163",
3557
                        "payoff": [
3558
                          "163",
3559
                          "0"
3560
                        ]
3561
                      },
3562
                      "max-max": {
3563
                        "childrenPayoff": [
3564
                          "143",
3565
                          "0"
3566
                        ],
3567
                        "combinedPayoff": "163",
3568
                        "payoff": [
3569
                          "163",
3570
                          "0"
3571
                        ]
3572
                      }
3573
                    },
3574
                    "childEdges": [
3575
                      {
3576
                        "computed": {
3577
                          "payoff": [
3578
                            "200",
3579
                            "0"
3580
                          ],
3581
                          "probability": "7/10",
3582
                          "expected-value-maximization": {
3583
                            "probability": "7/10"
3584
                          },
3585
                          "maxi-min": {
3586
                            "probability": 0,
3587
                            "optimal": false
3588
                          },
3589
                          "maxi-max": {
3590
                            "probability": 1
3591
                          },
3592
                          "expected-value-minimization": {
3593
                            "probability": "7/10"
3594
                          },
3595
                          "mini-min": {
3596
                            "probability": 0
3597
                          },
3598
                          "mini-max": {
3599
                            "probability": 1
3600
                          },
3601
                          "min-max": {
3602
                            "probability": "7/10"
3603
                          },
3604
                          "max-min": {
3605
                            "probability": "7/10"
3606
                          },
3607
                          "min-min": {
3608
                            "probability": "7/10"
3609
                          },
3610
                          "max-max": {
3611
                            "probability": "7/10"
3612
                          }
3613
                        },
3614
                        "name": "Yes",
3615
                        "probability": "p",
3616
                        "payoff": [
3617
                          "200",
3618
                          0
3619
                        ],
3620
                        "childNode": {
3621
                          "computed": {
3622
                            "expected-value-maximization": {
3623
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3624
                                "220"
3625
                              ],
3626
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3627
                              "payoff": [
3628
                                "200"
3629
                              ]
3630
                            },
3631
                            "maxi-min": {
3632
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3633
                                "220"
3634
                              ],
3635
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3636
                              "payoff": [
3637
                                "200"
3638
                              ]
3639
                            },
3640
                            "maxi-max": {
3641
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3642
                                "220"
3643
                              ],
3644
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3645
                              "payoff": [
3646
                                "200"
3647
                              ]
3648
                            },
3649
                            "expected-value-minimization": {
3650
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3651
                                "220"
3652
                              ],
3653
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3654
                              "payoff": [
3655
                                "200"
3656
                              ]
3657
                            },
3658
                            "mini-min": {
3659
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3660
                                "220"
3661
                              ],
3662
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3663
                              "payoff": [
3664
                                "200"
3665
                              ]
3666
                            },
3667
                            "mini-max": {
3668
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3669
                                "220"
3670
                              ],
3671
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3672
                              "payoff": [
3673
                                "200"
3674
                              ]
3675
                            },
3676
                            "min-max": {
3677
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3678
                                "220",
3679
                                "0"
3680
                              ],
3681
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3682
                              "combinedPayoff": "-200",
3683
                              "payoff": [
3684
                                "200",
3685
                                "0"
3686
                              ]
3687
                            },
3688
                            "max-min": {
3689
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3690
                                "220",
3691
                                "0"
3692
                              ],
3693
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3694
                              "combinedPayoff": "200",
3695
                              "payoff": [
3696
                                "200",
3697
                                "0"
3698
                              ]
3699
                            },
3700
                            "min-min": {
3701
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3702
                                "220",
3703
                                "0"
3704
                              ],
3705
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3706
                              "combinedPayoff": "-200",
3707
                              "payoff": [
3708
                                "200",
3709
                                "0"
3710
                              ]
3711
                            },
3712
                            "max-max": {
3713
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3714
                                "220",
3715
                                "0"
3716
                              ],
3717
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3718
                              "combinedPayoff": "200",
3719
                              "payoff": [
3720
                                "200",
3721
                                "0"
3722
                              ]
3723
                            }
3724
                          },
3725
                          "childEdges": [],
3726
                          "name": "",
3727
                          "code": "",
3728
                          "expressionScope": {
3729
                            "p": 0.7
3730
                          },
3731
                          "folded": false,
3732
                          "location": {
3733
                            "x": 470,
3734
                            "y": 807.5
3735
                          },
3736
                          "type": "terminal"
3737
                        }
3738
                      },
3739
                      {
3740
                        "computed": {
3741
                          "payoff": [
3742
                            "10",
3743
                            "0"
3744
                          ],
3745
                          "probability": "3/10",
3746
                          "expected-value-maximization": {
3747
                            "probability": "3/10"
3748
                          },
3749
                          "maxi-min": {
3750
                            "probability": 1,
3751
                            "optimal": true
3752
                          },
3753
                          "maxi-max": {
3754
                            "probability": 0
3755
                          },
3756
                          "expected-value-minimization": {
3757
                            "probability": "3/10"
3758
                          },
3759
                          "mini-min": {
3760
                            "probability": 1
3761
                          },
3762
                          "mini-max": {
3763
                            "probability": 0
3764
                          },
3765
                          "min-max": {
3766
                            "probability": "3/10"
3767
                          },
3768
                          "max-min": {
3769
                            "probability": "3/10"
3770
                          },
3771
                          "min-min": {
3772
                            "probability": "3/10"
3773
                          },
3774
                          "max-max": {
3775
                            "probability": "3/10"
3776
                          }
3777
                        },
3778
                        "name": "10",
3779
                        "probability": "1-p",
3780
                        "payoff": [
3781
                          "10",
3782
                          0
3783
                        ],
3784
                        "childNode": {
3785
                          "computed": {
3786
                            "expected-value-maximization": {
3787
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3788
                                "30"
3789
                              ],
3790
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3791
                              "payoff": [
3792
                                "10"
3793
                              ]
3794
                            },
3795
                            "maxi-min": {
3796
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3797
                                "30"
3798
                              ],
3799
                              "probabilityToEnter": "1",
3800
                              "payoff": [
3801
                                "10"
3802
                              ],
3803
                              "optimal": true
3804
                            },
3805
                            "maxi-max": {
3806
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3807
                                "30"
3808
                              ],
3809
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3810
                              "payoff": [
3811
                                "10"
3812
                              ]
3813
                            },
3814
                            "expected-value-minimization": {
3815
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3816
                                "30"
3817
                              ],
3818
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3819
                              "payoff": [
3820
                                "10"
3821
                              ]
3822
                            },
3823
                            "mini-min": {
3824
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3825
                                "30"
3826
                              ],
3827
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3828
                              "payoff": [
3829
                                "10"
3830
                              ]
3831
                            },
3832
                            "mini-max": {
3833
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3834
                                "30"
3835
                              ],
3836
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3837
                              "payoff": [
3838
                                "10"
3839
                              ]
3840
                            },
3841
                            "min-max": {
3842
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3843
                                "30",
3844
                                "0"
3845
                              ],
3846
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3847
                              "combinedPayoff": "-10",
3848
                              "payoff": [
3849
                                "10",
3850
                                "0"
3851
                              ]
3852
                            },
3853
                            "max-min": {
3854
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3855
                                "30",
3856
                                "0"
3857
                              ],
3858
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3859
                              "combinedPayoff": "10",
3860
                              "payoff": [
3861
                                "10",
3862
                                "0"
3863
                              ]
3864
                            },
3865
                            "min-min": {
3866
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3867
                                "30",
3868
                                "0"
3869
                              ],
3870
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3871
                              "combinedPayoff": "-10",
3872
                              "payoff": [
3873
                                "10",
3874
                                "0"
3875
                              ]
3876
                            },
3877
                            "max-max": {
3878
                              "aggregatedPayoff": [
3879
                                "30",
3880
                                "0"
3881
                              ],
3882
                              "probabilityToEnter": 0,
3883
                              "combinedPayoff": "10",
3884
                              "payoff": [
3885
                                "10",
3886
                                "0"
3887
                              ]
3888
                            }
3889
                          },
3890
                          "childEdges": [],
3891
                          "name": "",
3892
                          "code": "",
3893
                          "expressionScope": {
3894
                            "p": 0.7
3895
                          },
3896
                          "folded": false,
3897
                          "location": {
3898
                            "x": 470,
3899
                            "y": 882.5
3900
                          },
3901
                          "type": "terminal"
3902
                        }
3903
                      }
3904
                    ],
3905
                    "name": "Book\nSuccessful?",
3906
                    "code": "",
3907
                    "expressionScope": {
3908
                      "p": 0.7
3909
                    },
3910
                    "folded": false,
3911
                    "location": {
3912
                      "x": 320,
3913
                      "y": 845
3914
                    },
3915
                    "type": "chance"
3916
                  }
3917
                }
3918
              ],
3919
              "name": "Who publishes?",
3920
              "code": "",
3921
              "expressionScope": {
3922
                "p": 0.7
3923
              },
3924
              "folded": false,
3925
              "location": {
3926
                "x": 170,
3927
                "y": 762.5000000000002
3928
              },
3929
              "type": "decision"
3930
            }
3931
          }
3932
        ],
3933
        "name": "Survey\nMarket?",
3934
        "code": "",
3935
        "expressionScope": {
3936
          "p": 0.7
3937
        },
3938
        "folded": false,
3939
        "location": {
3940
          "x": 20,
3941
          "y": 533.7500000000001
3942
        },
3943
        "type": "decision"
3944
      }
3945
    ],
3946
    "texts": [],
3947
    "payoffNames": [],
3948
    "defaultCriterion1Weight": 1,
3949
    "weightLowerBound": 0,
3950
    "weightUpperBound": "Infinity"
3951
  },
3952
  "sensitivityAnalysis": {
3953
    "sensitivity-analysis": {
3954
      "id": "3f80435a-9691-c548-9882-dbb9809f6cb2",
3955
      "extendedPolicyDescription": true,
3956
      "failOnInvalidTree": true,
3957
      "ruleName": "expected-value-maximization",
3958
      "variables": [
3959
        {
3960
          "name": "p",
3961
          "min": 0,
3962
          "max": 1,
3963
          "length": 11
3964
        }
3965
      ]
3966
    }
3967
  }
3968
}
3969
Product

Resources

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