| Figure 10.1 - How evidence updates the prior to the posterior probability distribution.png | 38.1 KB | |
| Figure 10.10 - Forest and energy plot.png | 118.6 KB | |
| Figure 10.11 - Single-variable model predictions.png | 124.7 KB | |
| Figure 10.12 - The Bayesian SR in plate notation.png | 33.3 KB | |
| Figure 10.13 - The posterior distribution for the model parameters.png | 306.7 KB | |
| Figure 10.14 - The difference between two Bayesian SRs in plate notation.png | 297.2 KB | |
| Figure 10.15 - The posterior distributions for the differences between two Bayesian SRs.png | 265.1 KB | |
| Figure 10.16 - Price series and correlation over time of two pairs of trading candidates.png | 72.8 KB | |
| Figure 10.17 - Changes in intercept and slope coefficients over time.png | 262.3 KB | |
| Figure 10.18 - Rolling regression lines and price series.png | 333.5 KB | |
| Figure 10.19 - Daily S&P 500 log returns.png | 173.1 KB | |
| Figure 10.2 - Posterior distributions of the probability that the S&P 500 goes up the next day after up to 500 updates.png | 219.3 KB | |
| Figure 10.20 - Trace plot for the stochastic volatility model.png | 576.1 KB | |
| Figure 10.21 - Model.png | 369.2 KB | |
| Figure 10.3 - Mutual information between recession and leading indicators for horizons from 1-24 months.png | 31 KB | |
| Figure 10.4 - Leading indicator distributions by recession status.png | 53.3 KB | |
| Figure 10.5 - Bayesian logistic regression.png | 19.7 KB | |
| Figure 10.6 - Traces after 100 samples.png | 162.4 KB | |
| Figure 10.7 - Traces after an additional 50,000 samples.png | 177.5 KB | |
| Figure 10.8 - Credible intervals for yield curve and leverage.png | 28.9 KB | |
| Figure 10.9 - Traces after 400 and after over 200,000 samples.png | 439.9 KB | |
