\documentclass[tikz, border=2pt]{standalone}
\usepackage{tikz}
\begin{document}
\usetikzlibrary{fit,arrows,calc,positioning,shadows.blur}
\begin{tikzpicture}[var/.style={draw,circle,inner sep=0pt,minimum size=1.2cm},
latentconf/.style={draw,circle,dashed,inner sep=0pt,minimum size=1.2cm, fill=green!5}
]
\node (A) [var] {$A$};
\node (U) [latentconf, above=.8cm of A] {$U$};
\node (Y) [var, right=.8cm of U] {$Y_1 - Y_0$};
\node (X) [var, above=.8cm of U] {$X$};
\path[->, line width=0.5mm]
(A) edge (Y)
(U) edge (A)
(X) edge (Y)
(U) edge (X)
(U) edge (Y);
\path[<->, line width=0.5mm]
(A) edge[bend left=90, dashed] (U);
\end{tikzpicture}
\end{document}