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In Praise of Movie-Ticket Prices
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Chatterbox loves to go to the movies. Mostly this is because he loves
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movies, but partly it's because moviegoers enjoy one of the last great consumer
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bargains in America. This is not widely recognized. Especially in New York City
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(where prices for movie tickets, and most other things, are higher than they
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are elsewhere in the United States), politicians are constantly grandstanding
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about the high price of movie tickets. In March, New York City Council Speaker
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Peter Vallone issued a press
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release urging the Justice Department to intervene because Loew's Cineplex
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had just raised ticket prices in Manhattan to $9.50. Vallone kicked up a
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similar fuss two years ago when Sony-Loew's New York Lincoln Square Multiplex
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raised prices to $9. A decade earlier, then-Mayor Ed Koch actually urged a
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boycott when movie-ticket prices rose from $6 to $7. (Click here to
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read CNN's coverage of the earlier controversies.) The boycott fizzled because
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... well, because, $7 wasn't all that much to spend on an evening's
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entertainment in Fun City.
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Chatterbox lives in Washington, where a Saturday night visit to what is
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widely recognized as the area's spiffiest movie theater, an Art Deco palace
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called the Uptown, costs $7.75 ($9 if you purchase an advance ticket by phone).
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That's still "high" by national standards; according to the Motion Picture
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Association of America, the average movie-ticket price last year was a mere
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$4.69. Is that higher than it used to be?
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Take a look at this chart, which Chatterbox found on a Web page about inflation that
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was forwarded to him and several other journalists by Jonathan Rauch,
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the economics columnist for National Journal . Observe that in constant dollars,
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movie-ticket prices more than doubled between 1935 (when they cost a quarter;
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that's $2.93 in 1999 dollars) and 1970 (when they cost $1.55; $6.68 in 1999
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dollars). Prices for movie tickets peaked, in constant dollars, during the
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1970s. By 1980, movie-ticket prices had dropped to about $2.69--$5.46 in 1999
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dollars, where they stayed until 1990. Constant-dollar movie prices dropped a
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bit more in the early 1990s, stabilizing during the middle 1990s at $4.70 to
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$4.80 (in 1999 dollars), where they remain.
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It's interesting to note that the 1970s, the decade when the price of
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going to movies reached an all-time high, was also the decade when Hollywood
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movies were better , in the aggregate, than they've ever been before or
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since. This was the decade of The Godfather , Chinatown , and more great films than Chatterbox can count
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by Martin Scorsese and Robert Altman. It's tempting to conclude that
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if consumers paid more for movies, they would get better movies. But the 1980s,
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which produced movies that were worse in the aggregate than movies being
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made today (and much, much worse than the movies that were being made
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during the 1970s) would seem to disprove that hypothesis, because movie-ticket
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prices were higher then (in constant dollars) than they are now.
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Perhaps the reason movies were so good during the 1970s had to do with the
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size of the audience. According to data (not available, alas, online) from the
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Motion Picture Association of
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America, weekly movie admissions dropped from 78 million in 1946 to an
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all-time low of 15.8 million in 1971. Weekly admissions stayed in the teens for
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most of the 1970s, rising to the low 20s during the 1980s. (Chatterbox assumes
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this has something to do with U.S. demographics.) Conceivably the shrinkage
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caused the moviegoing public to become more like shoppers in a boutique than
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shoppers in a supermarket--i.e., less interested in mass-produced items, and
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more interested in quirkier handcrafted products. But if that's true, it cannot
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be extrapolated that movies continue to get worse as audiences continue
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to expand . If that were true, movies would be worse today (weekly
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admissions numbered 27 million in 1997, the last year for which data are
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available) than they were in 1985 (when weekly admissions numbered 20
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million). But in fact, movies are better today (assuming you don't count
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Eyes Wide Shut ).
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