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Write Off Tice on Tyco
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With absolutely no malice aforethought (honest, it's just happened this
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way), Moneybox this week has been devoted to the thoroughly scintillating
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issues of double-parking and corporate accounting. I promise next week to
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return to our usual diet of sex and scandal. But in any case, class, today's
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topic is "write-off charges after acquisitions: good or evil?"
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Hey, you in the back row, stop snoring! And you, put down that Game Boy!
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Ahem. Actually, write-offs have been in the news all week. Intel
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reported its third-quarter results, which included a hefty write-off related to
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its acquisition of Level One Communications, upon which some commentators cast
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a jaundiced eye. Motorola, meanwhile, announced that it would be taking a $700
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million write-off because of its investment in troubled satellite-phone company
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Iridium, and added that it might have to take an additional $350 million
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write-off in the next quarter. Those write-offs were generally described as
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sensible, since Iridium may very well turn out to be a complete bust, and
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Motorola needs to make sure it has enough money on hand to account for its
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losses from the investment.
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The biggest write-off-related news, though, has to do with Tyco, which until
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this week has been one of the hottest companies and hottest stocks in America.
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This is Tyco International, not Tyco Toys. Along with GE, it's one of the few
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truly successful industrial conglomerates left in this country, with lines of
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business ranging from disposable medical products to underwater
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telecommunications. Tyco has turned itself into a $30 billion company through
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an aggressive program of acquisitions (a total of 110 in the last seven years),
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acquisitions that it has done a rather remarkable job of integrating into its
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broader management structure.
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This week, though, David Tice, who runs the Prudent Bear Fund out of Dallas,
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issued a report calling into question "the quality of Tyco's earnings," which
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is a nice way of saying Tice is suggesting that Tyco's acquisition-driven
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strategy may be a way of masking slow growth in its underlying business. In
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particular, Tice pointed to Tyco's hefty write-offs of its acquisition costs,
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write-offs that have totaled something like $3.9 billion in the last four
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years.
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Companies take one-time write-offs because they're better than having to
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write off a little bit each year. Investors and analysts tend to treat large
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write-offs as one-time events, and therefore disregard them. Skeptical
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investors, like Tice, don't like this, especially when--as in the case of
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Tyco--a company is taking large write-offs year after year. The write-off, in
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the minds of bears, can be a way for companies to hide the costs of
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acquisitions.
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This critique of write-offs is completely wrongheaded. If the cost of
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acquisition is hidden by a write-off, it's hidden in plain sight, since the
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company announces it quite publicly. And while it's possible that there are
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investors who get tricked by write-offs into believing that an acquisition was
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free, it's also true that there are people who still believe their fates are
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governed by the stars. Companies are no more responsible for the former than
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the latter. The market as a whole cannot be systematically deluded by
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accounting gimmicks, as long as the gimmicks are publicly disclosed.
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Here, though, we get into the other potential problem with write-offs.
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Essentially, when a company takes a write-off with regard to an acquisition,
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it's setting aside a reserve of money that it says it believes it will need to
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complete the acquisition. The danger is that an unscrupulous company will set
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aside too much money--since with a big write-off investors tend to disregard
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the hit to earnings--and then use the excess to make its bottom line look
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better in future years. In other words, I set aside $3 billion to pay for the
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acquisition of Company X, but in reality it only costs me $2.8 billion, giving
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me $200 million that I can feed back into my income statement in upcoming
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years. You need a couple of pennies of income to meet Wall Street estimates?
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You got 'em.
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This, for instance, is exactly what Sunbeam did when Al Dunlap was CEO.
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(Dunlap denies knowing about the shenanigans that took place under his watch.)
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And although Tice hasn't come out and said it, this is what he's implying may
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(or could) be happening at Tyco. The charges have had a dramatic effect,
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driving the stock down 6 percent on Wednesday and another 10 percent on
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Thursday, even though the company's CEO denounced the charges as utterly
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baseless and just about every Wall Street firm reiterated "buy" ratings on the
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stock.
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Looking at the numbers, I think Tice is completely off base about Tyco. And,
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in theory, feeding a write-off reserve back into operating income shouldn't
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even be possible. The reality, though, is that this kind of stuff still happens
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all the time (even though eventually everyone does seem to get caught). And
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Tice was onto Sunbeam before almost anyone else. But to a man with a hammer
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everything looks like a nail. Write-offs themselves are not the problem. It's
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the lack of transparency in the way that companies--like Sunbeam, and not like
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Tyco--use them that is.
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