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My Thoughts Exactly
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Last year I published a
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book, A Moment on the Earth: The Coming Age of Environmental Optimism,
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precisely when people were inclined to think my central idea was crazy. The
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thesis was that the U.S. environment is not declining but improving, and that
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this demonstrates that federal health and safety regulations really work. But
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the book appeared just as Newt Gingrich seemed poised to repeal the 20th
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century and public opinion was retreating to the view that nature is doomed.
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This year, though, Newt crashed and burned, while liberalism has grown eager
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for arguments that government provides genuine benefits. Suddenly, my
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hypothesis is catching on.
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In April 1995,
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environmentalist Jessica Mathews torched A Moment on the Earth on the
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Washington Post op-ed page. Mathews called me a dope for saying the U.S.
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environment is recovering. She rejected my contention that ecological
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initiatives represent "the leading postwar triumph for American government,"
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and slammed me for using the word "success" to describe environmental
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regulation. But last month, writing again for the Post , Mathews
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rhapsodized about the marvelous U.S. ecological recovery. She called reduction
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of pollution "government's one resounding success of the last 25 years." Her
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repeated use of that word--"success"--was especially galling.
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The
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column was so amazingly familiar I had to check the byline to see if I'd
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sleep-written it. Could this possibly be the same Jessica Mathews who had
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debated me on Charlie Rose last year, scowling as she told viewers
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environmental optimism was an appalling notion? This must be the next frontier
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in stealing ideas, I thought: Discredit someone, then write the same thing
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yourself as if you'd thought of it. Then I cheered up a bit. A Moment on the
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Earth predicts, "Soon we're all going to be environmental optimists." Could
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I actually have been right?
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Sure didn't seem that way a year ago. On publication my
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book was blistered by enviro lobbies, especially the Environmental Defense
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Fund, which issued two book-length attacks on my thesis, one weighing in at 110
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pages and boiling down to, "How dare you call us successful!" The EDF hoped,
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for fund-raising reasons, to stamp out optimism before it gained a foothold.
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With enormous self-restraint, I'll spare you my own analysis of the EDF's
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analysis of me. But, to my mind, I was the victim of standard Washington
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splatter tactics: Throw enough mud, some will stick. Stick it did, and the buzz
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turned cold.
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Conspiracy theory was rolled
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out to explain my sinister cheerfulness. The
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Nation declared that
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I must be in the pay of the electric-utility industry. (What is holding
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up those checks?) In the sci.environment section of Usenet, I found a posting
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from a research assistant "for a professor at Boston University" seeking
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information on "who is behind" and "who is providing the money" for my work.
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The notion that writers are supported by readers--my corporate master is called
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Viking Penguin--apparently was too prosaic.
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Then in
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July 1995, Interior Secretary Bruce Babbitt held a photo op to defend the
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Endangered Species Act. The event was staged atop a Manhattan skyscraper where
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peregrine falcons, birds that have rebounded from the brink of extinction owing
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to federal protection, now nest. Babbitt hailed this as "a symbol of hope" for
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the environment. Where'd he get that idea? Well, A Moment on the Earth
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begins by describing wild falcons nesting on a Manhattan skyscraper as a symbol
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of hope for the environment. Protocol says Babbitt should have invited me,
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because authors can lend photo ops extra credence. But the grapevine said
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Babbitt didn't want me around because my theory had lightning-rod status among
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environmentalists.
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In the meantime, I was attempting earnestly to
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persuade Democrats that environmental optimism could be a potent political
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idea. Perhaps anyone who tries to be his own spin doctor has a fool for a
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patient, but Viking's publicists had shifted their attention to another book,
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the slightly more remunerative The Road Ahead by Bill Gates. (One day of
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your sales, Bill. It's all I ask.) I huddled with the Democratic Leadership
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Council, President Clinton's centrist policy shop, and with the Senate
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Democratic Policy Committee (run by Sen. Tom Daschle), urging members to become
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environmental optimists before Republicans stole the march. Several Democratic
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senators seemed taken but--or so I was told--were asked to steer clear by the
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vice president's office.
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Wham! I
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had hit the Al Gore glass ceiling. The vice president has staked out doomsday
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as a favored issue, and will brook no optimists. An example: Last October, I
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arranged for the normally anti-regulatory authors Philip Howard, Tom Peters,
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and David Osborne to join me in condemning environmental rollback attempts on
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the Hill. Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Carol Browner asked
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Mike McCurry to read our statement in the White House press room. My wife, who
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works for the administration under her maiden name, rolled her eyes, saying,
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"Gore's office is never going to let you get away with the credit." Sure
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enough, when McCurry read our pitch, my name had mysteriously been dropped from
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the top of the (alphabetical) signers' list.
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Meanwhile, it turned out my fear that Republicans would
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expropriate environmental optimism was unfounded. The last thing Republicans
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wanted to hear is that the EPA is a blessing. I even heard that Rep. Tom DeLay
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of Texas, the House Majority Whip, even banned the reading of A Moment on
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the Earth in his office. (True? Who knows? But I take comfort in believing
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it.)
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Naively, I had thought
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environmental optimism would appeal to many political camps. Liberals would be
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happy that regulatory intervention was protecting an essential aspect of life;
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conservatives would be happy for proof that nature and industry are not
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incompatible. Instead, left and right united in a screwball shared interest in
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rejecting any positive environmental tidings. The left was using alarmism about
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nature to raise money, while the right was raising money with alarmism about
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regulations. Now with Newt in hiding, that dynamic has changed. Progressives at
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last are noticing that the best argument for government activism is that it
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works. Maybe even Al Gore will soon exalt with a broad smile the vibrant U.S.
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ecology. Don't faint when it happens.
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